title: Forecast and hedging of risks in decision-making by an investigator and a judge
metadata.name: dc.contributor.author
metadata.value: Tsvetkov, Yury A.
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.accessioned
metadata.value: 2023-10-30T14:39:46Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.available
metadata.value: 2023-10-30T14:39:46Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.issued
metadata.value: 2023-09
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.citation
metadata.value: Tsvetkov, Yury A. 2023. “Forecast and hedging of risks in decision-making by an investigator and a judge”. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Law 3: 649–667. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu14.2023.306 (In Russian)
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.identifier.other
metadata.value: https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu14.2023.306
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.uri
metadata.value: http://hdl.handle.net/11701/44305
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.description.abstract
metadata.value: The study is aimed at determining the role and significance of forecasting in the professional
  activities of an investigator and a judge. Methodologically, the study is based on probability
  theory, signal theory, project management and risk management. The empirical basis of the
  study is criminal cases initiated against judges as well as against investigators and other law
  enforcement officials due to negligence. The data of judicial and criminal statistics are used.
  The author analyzes the empirical material and solves the problem of forecasting by applying
  the approach is due to the classification of investigative and judicial risks proposed by the author
  himself according to the nature and content of the consequences of their implementation
  on legal (formal and material) and social risks. A qualitative-quantitative methodology for
  assessing forensic and investigative risks developed by the author is proposed. The concept of
  hedging is introduced into scientific legal circulation as a system of ways to prevent or minimize
  the negative consequences of their occurrence. The main conclusion is made about the
  need for judges to master the scientific methods of forecasting and managing risks, as well as
  to establish clear criteria for liability for grave consequences as a result of gross judicial errors
  in forecasting.
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.language.iso
metadata.value: ru
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.publisher
metadata.value: St Petersburg State University
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.relation.ispartofseries
metadata.value: Vestnik of St Petersburg University. Law;Volume 14; Issue 3
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: judge
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: investigator
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: justice
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: procedural decision
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: judgement mistake
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: unjust judicial act
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: forecasting
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: management of risks
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.title
metadata.value: Forecast and hedging of risks in decision-making by an investigator and a judge
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.type
metadata.value: Article
metadata.lang: en_GB
resources.filename: 06.pdf
resources.url: https://dspace.spbu.ru/bitstream/11701/44305/1/06.pdf
resources.format: Adobe PDF
resources.size: 755,36 kB