title: Mathematical modeling of demand population of older age groups in medical care provided in inpatients conditions
metadata.name: dc.contributor.author
metadata.value: Cherkasov, Sergey N.
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.contributor.author
metadata.value: Fedyaeva, Anna V.
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.contributor.author
metadata.value: Avsadzhanishvili, Vasily N.
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.accessioned
metadata.value: 2023-03-30T11:44:51Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.available
metadata.value: 2023-03-30T11:44:51Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.issued
metadata.value: 2022-06
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.citation
metadata.value: Cherkasov S. N., Fedyaeva A. V., Avsadzhanishvili V. N. Mathematical modeling of demand population of older age groups in medical care provided in inpatients conditions. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Medicine, 2022, vol. 17, issue 2, pp. 132–140. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu11.2022.206 (In Russian)
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.identifier.other
metadata.value: https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu11.2022.206
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.uri
metadata.value: http://hdl.handle.net/11701/39430
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.description.abstract
metadata.value: The aim of the study is to construct a model of the needs of the population of older age groups
  in medical care provided in stationary conditions. Modeling was carried out on the basis of
  data on cases of medical care in the period 2018–2019. Population of older age groups living
  in the Moscow region. The probability of inpatient care was determined in each one-year age
  interval, starting at age 60. When constructing the dynamic curve, 41 points were used. In
  modeling, they adhered to the functional principle of describing age dynamics by an algebraic
  function, which was determined by the least squares method (regression analysis). The quality
  of the obtained models was evaluated by the value of the approximation coefficient. The
  degree of influence of age on the dependent variable (the magnitude of the need for care) was
  defined as the empirical correlation ratio during the variance analysis. The age dynamics of
  the need for medical care provided in inpatient conditions as well as in the conditions of a day
  hospital in the population of older age groups can be described using a second order parabola
  with a negative first coefficient. It should be noted the similarity of modeling functions used
  to describe the age dynamics of demanded volumes of medical care provided in outpatient
  and inpatient settings. There were no significant gender differences in the modelling of age
  dynamics of the need for medical care provided in a 24-hour hospital setting. The level of need
  is higher in men in all age groups studied, which is the opposite result relative to the need for
  outpatient care. The level of need for medical care provided in a day hospital setting is higher
  in women in all age groups studied, which corresponds to the results obtained in the study of
  the need for medical care provided in an outpatient setting.
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.language.iso
metadata.value: ru
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.relation.ispartofseries
metadata.value: Vestnik of St Petersburg University. Medicine;Volume 17; Issue 2
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: planning
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: need for medical care
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: modeling
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: older age groups
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: age dynamics
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: health system
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: medical care provided in stationary conditions
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.title
metadata.value: Mathematical modeling of demand population of older age groups in medical care provided in inpatients conditions
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.type
metadata.value: Article
metadata.lang: en_GB
resources.filename: 06.pdf
resources.url: https://dspace.spbu.ru/bitstream/11701/39430/1/06.pdf
resources.format: Adobe PDF
resources.size: 863,59 kB