title: “Water conflicts” in Central Asia: The likelihood of escalation and prevention options
metadata.name: dc.contributor.author
metadata.value: Golunov, Serghei V.
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.accessioned
metadata.value: 2024-12-20T13:37:16Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.available
metadata.value: 2024-12-20T13:37:16Z
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.date.issued
metadata.value: 2024-06
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.citation
metadata.value: Golunov S. V. “Water conflicts” in Central Asia: The likelihood of escalation and prevention options. Political Expertise: POLITEX, 2024, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 259–273. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu23.2024.208 (In Russian)
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.identifier.other
metadata.value: https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu23.2024.208
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.identifier.uri
metadata.value: http://hdl.handle.net/11701/48209
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.description.abstract
metadata.value: Numerous forecasts emphasize the danger of escalating conflicts over freshwater resources in
  Central Asia due to such factors, as limited availability of water resources across much of the region,
  rapid population growth, adverse consequences of the global warming, and contradictions
  between agricultural and energy needs of the region’s states. Despite the relatively abundant
  research on the issue of water scarcity in Central Asia, the analyses of potential causes of conflict
  escalation and of the range of actors of these potential conflicts do look fragmentary and not
  sufficiently logical. Findings of most studies seem outdated and not paying due attention to the
  interplay between water issues and energy security. This article is devoted to complex analysis of
  the role of those factors that could potentially lead to an exacerbation of water conflicts in Central
  Asia. The author concludes that the escalation of conflicts over Central Asian water resources is
  by no means inevitable and not even the most likely scenario. Countries of the region have a wide
  range of opportunities to prevent the exacerbation of the issue. This could involve efforts to save
  water, gaining access to additional water resources, and achieving interstate compromises to mitigate
  tensions between upstream and downstream states regarding seasonal water distribution.
  However, taking advantage of these opportunities is also challenging given a range of economic
  and political obstacles. This brings a lot of uncertainty into the future developments.
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.language.iso
metadata.value: ru
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.publisher
metadata.value: St Petersburg State University
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.relation.ispartofseries
metadata.value: Political Expertise: POLITEX;Volume 20; Issue 2
metadata.lang: -
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: Central Asia
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: water security
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: water conflict
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: absolute water scarcity
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: seasonal water scarcity
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.subject
metadata.value: energy security
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.title
metadata.value: “Water conflicts” in Central Asia: The likelihood of escalation and prevention options
metadata.lang: en_GB
metadata.name: dc.type
metadata.value: Article
metadata.lang: en_GB
resources.filename: Политэкс+2-2024+для+сайта-120-133.pdf
resources.url: https://dspace.spbu.ru/bitstream/11701/48209/1/%d0%9f%d0%be%d0%bb%d0%b8%d1%82%d1%8d%d0%ba%d1%81%2b2-2024%2b%d0%b4%d0%bb%d1%8f%2b%d1%81%d0%b0%d0%b9%d1%82%d0%b0-120-133.pdf
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